Seags and Ando’s Betting Bonanza

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Welcome to a new segment, one that focuses on actually winning something worthwhile, as opposed to bragging rights over your mates. Me and my punter mate Ando (@aj_1124) willl take a quick glimpse at the odds this week in the EPL, and highlight where there’s money to be made!  Ando has won a lot of money in his time… I’m backing him all the way! All bets are as per the odds on Unitab.com

Firstly from the H2H point of view, the real money seems to be in a few tighter games. This week offers loads of games that  could tip either way, with Chelsea looking the only lock in winners. Man United are very short odds but can you really write off Fulham given United’s injury crisis and Fulham’s 5 goal opening weekend?

THE SURE THINGS

Strangely enough, this week’s games could go either way. If you think Arsenal can get over Stoke at the Brittania then they’re paying semi-well at 1.96 for the win. Also, given Liverpool‘s performance last week it’s very hard to see them upsetting Man City, even at home. The Sky Blues are paying 2.32 for the win, or if you wanted something a little safer (which I do) the double chance on a Man City win or Draw is paying 1.36.

THE POTENTIAL

Swansea (1.95) v West Ham (3.90) offers a lot of potential for those willing to invest in the newly promoted side. Sure, Swansea smashed QPR 5-0, but West Ham are a completely different kettle of fish. Swansea killed QPR on the counter, with their two wingers in Taarabt and Hoilett loving to get forward, which exposes the fullbacks. West Ham don’t play like this however, and stay defensive and pop long balls to Cole all day. I think Swansea will have a much harder time piercing the Hammers defence than they did QPR.

Southampton (2.10)  v Wigan (3.40) offers yet more value for punters. Wigan at 3.40 to beat a newly promoted side in the PL? Very tempting. The money here though is in the fact that both sides LOVE to play attacking footy. Wigan play a 3-5-2, while Southampton preferring a 4-3-3; the most attacking formations in football. For over 2.5 goals to be scored in the match, the market sits at 1.80. If you’re feeling a little more confident, 3.5 goals or over is paying 2.95.

THE UPSETS

Last week West Brom made Liverpool look silly. Yes, they did get a little lucky with refereeing decisions, but regardless they still have the form on paper. This week, they have a tough task against Tottenham at White Hart Lane, but can you really write them off? Paying 7.oo it might be worth a sneaky couple of dollars- after all, AVB’s defensive record is shaky at best!

Now we turn our attention to Old Trafford. Man United have been ravaged by injury, and are coming off a loss to Everton. Fulham are coming off a 5-0 drubbing of QPR, playing attractive, attacking football. Paying 5.25 for a draw, and if you’re feeling a bit riskier, 11.00 for the win. Now I’m not saying they will win. Far from it. But I think the risk/reward situation is in your favour here. Perhaps a 2 dollar multi of West Brom and Fulham might be on the  cards? What better ways could you spend two dollars? (Besides a days subscription to Brazzers.com) It’ll make you a cool $154 dollars if it comes off!

ANDO’S MULTI’S

The Safe One

TOTTENHAM vs West Brom – $1.45
MAN UTD vs Fulham – $1.25
Man City vs Liverpool over 1.5 goals – $1.3

Multi pays= $23 from $10
For a solid multi to kick us off i haven chosen three relatively straight forward legs. First up Tottenham face West Brom at White Hart Lane which is a difficult trip for any side. While West Brom will be on a high following their 3-0 win over Liverpool, i believe Tottenham will be too strong at home for Steve Clarke’s boys. Aaron Lennon looked impressive in their loss to Newcastle and expect Bale to fire as we rarely see him have to quiet games in a row. So at $1.45 at home i will takeTottenham.
 
Man United are the second leg in this multi and i feel sorry for Fulham as they will be ready to play following their unexpected 1-0 defeat to Everton in GW1. In the previous two meetings Manchester United have won both 1-0 and 5-0 and with more minutes expected out of star signing RVP expect the red devils to get their first win of the 2012-13 season.
Finally i have chosen Man City and Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals combined which when looking at previous results seems fairly straight forward. In GW1 Man Cityand Southampton scored a combined 5 goals while Liverpool conceded 3. With Liverpool’s shaky defence and Defender Daniel Agger being awarded a red cardMan City should be able to create plenty of chances and hit the back of the net more than once. Also keep an eye out for David Silva who had a fairly forgettable start to the season but im sure will bounce back with an assist or two this weekend. Will be a tough start for Liverpools new manager Brendan Rogers.

The Money-Maker

Norwich v QPR – $3.35
Stoke v Arsenal – $1.96
Liverpool v Man City – $2.32

Multi pays $76.16 from $5

Risk value is high here picking all the away teams. QPR , although they lost 5-0, actually showed glimpses of dazzling attacking play. Norwich are notoriously shoddy defenders, so I expect the R’s to get their first win of the year. Taarabt and Hoilett combining with Cissè looks pretty potent. With the reinforcements down back (DawsonCarvalho) they should be a lot tighter.

Arsenal often suck poo against Stoke, but the new look side boasts plenty of attacking flair in CazorlaPodolski and Giroud, along with the acquisition of the extremely effective Sahin as a deep lying playmaker. This should be too much for Stoke, who will continue to bang long balls to Crouch, something Mertesacker, Vermaelen and co. should deal with easily.

Now to Man City. Normally I wouldn’t put this bet on, as Liverpool at home are usually a pretty tough assignment, but as is already mentioned, the absence of Agger leaves a HUGE hole in the backline, one neither Coates or Carragher can fill. Tevez and his army should have a field day, and could deepen the woes of Brendan Rogers.

Personally, Seags and I have gone with the latter of the multi’s. QPR remain the biggest hurdle, but hopefully they can get us over the line!

As has been mentioned, if you want a bet, jump on Unitab.com and whack on a multi! It definitely makes the games a little more interesting.

Anyway that should do us for the markets this week. Tune in next week hopefully a few dollars wealthier!

Cheers guys,

Seags and Ando


@tseagrim

@aj_1124

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