Southampton Moving Forward

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Screen-Shot-2014-07-02-at-19.18.55

Southampton have been one of the fantasy successes stories of the last two seasons providing many a budget selection to bolster our sides. From the cut price defenders such as Luke Shaw to the attacking thrust provided by Adam Lallana, Jay Rodriguez and Rickie Lambert. Southampton’s third season back in the top flight brings with it a multitude of issues. Not only has the squad entered the dreaded ‘mid price’ fantasy bracket but a number of key players, chairman and even the manager have left the club as Southampton hit the Premier League ‘glass ceiling’.

Players In:

Dusan Tadic Midfield 7.5 FPL

Granziano Pelle Forward 7.5 FPL

First Team Players Out:

Adam Lallana (Liverpool)

Rickie Lambert (Liverpool)

Luke Shaw (Manchester United)

Jay Rodriguez (ACL Knee injury out injured until 2015)

Dejan Lovern (likely to move to Liverpool)

The Manager – Ronald Koeman

Lets cut to the chase Ronald has managed 7 clubs since the year 2000 with limited success. 5 of these clubs were in the Dutch Eredivisie (Vitesse, Ajax, PSV, AZ, Feyenoord). Ronald took a limited budget Vitesse to the UEFA Cup whilst winning league titles with powerhouses Ajax and PSV the default expectation for these clubs. Ronald was sacked from AZ after a terrible run of form and was recently at Feyenoord who finished 2nd, 3rd and 2nd during his time at the club. Ronald has a decent record in the Dutch league but it is his adventures onto the continent that need to be looked at fiercely. Ronald took the Portuguese powerhouse Benfica to third in the league before being sacked and was at the helm of Valencia (2007-08) and found himself struggling in 15th position before being sacked mid season.

Quite simply Ronald has limited experience on the continent and is a huge risk in England for a team in transition. His transfer policy has been extremely interesting so far transferring in two players he is familiar with from the Dutch League. Transfers from the Dutch league are traditionally hit and miss for every Van Nisterooy there is a Kezman (or for every Wilfried Bony there is a Jozy Altidore).

The New Boys

I really don’t know much about the two transfers but here is a bit of statistical analysis that gives us a bit of an indicator on there impact in their respective leagues. Pelle measures quite well compared to Lambert although the Dutch league is much weaker then the PL we must remember. As far as fantasy goes Pelle offers limited value at 7.5 with no premier league experience his price (even though he has scored 50 goals in two seasons)

Screen-Shot-2014-07-15-at-21.25.21

Dusan Tadic

Extremely disappointed he has come with a 7.5 price tag I was hoping for a modest 7 but the success of Southampton in the past two seasons has seen him bumped up in price. Below is a comparison between himself, Lallana and a recent dutch import in Eriksen. If Tadic can perform anything like Eriksen we are in for a treat. On that note Eriksen is extremely well priced at 8.0.

comparison times 3

The Breakouts

Below we have our depth chart for the season ahead with Jay Rodriguez out for the foreseeable future Gaston Ramirez, Steven Davis and / or James Ward-Prowse are likely to nail down a role in the front four. There is serious value to be had here Southampton face two of last seasons top 8 in the first 12 matches of the season so have the potential to get off to a flyer.

2013 / 2014 Statistics

Name

Minutes

Goals

Assists

Steven Davis (5.0)

2493

2

7

Gaston Ramirez (5.5)

520

1

3

James Ward-Prowse (5.0)

1617

0

2

Keep an eye on the pre season to see who gains starts for Southampton with a favorable start we are likely to see a breakout season from one of Tadic, Davis, Ramirez or Ward-Prowse. Tadic is the ‘main man’ being the big transfer in but my money is on Gaston Ramirez to have a ‘breakout’ season if given the starts. Gaston was a record signing at the time he signed for Southampton but has undergone two injury ravaged seasons which has seen his impact reduced. A pre season with consistent performances makes such a difference to a player at this level Adam Lallana saw the value of a full season last time out and Gaston could do the same this time round. Lets remember on limited starts (played 1 full match last season) and having two pretty average seasons the 5.5 priced midfielder found his way into the World Cup squad for Uruguay. At only 23 years of age he has the potential to make an impact over the early stages of the campaign.

7 comments on “Southampton Moving Forward

    • Liam Post Author

      Cheers man I feel as though these two will be flying under the radar so I am glad you find it informative. Tadic is only at 3.2% ownership I reckon he could be the real gem of the two but time will tell

      • nburk53

        Yeah if only he was that little bit cheaper he would be perfectly priced! But his stats make a compelling argument, albeit in a slight lower league compared to the Prem.

  1. N1qQ45 4R3 K1nG5

    Great in-depth analysis Liam! Southampton were probably the most confusing team up front. WIth Walcott out for the start, he now becomes Tadic, cheers Liam.
    Also, if youre thinking of doing any more maybe Newcastle? With Riviere, Cabella, De Jong and Sissoko?

    • Liam Post Author

      Thanks for the idea was wondering what situation to look at next. Newcastle have quite a few (french) options. Newcastle have bought 4 starting players which can totally change the team dynamic so we might need some pre season games before looking further.

      • N1qQ45 4R3 K1nG5

        Would be great! Hopefully De Jong lines up in the middle, behind the striker as he is cheaper than Cabella. If so, then it’s a choice between De Jong and Snodgrass… Or both.
        Looking forward 🙂

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: